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NEWS FROM THE MONTH OF JULY 2008
| U.S. Economy |
Economic overview and highlights |
| Housing & Residential Construction |
Information on U.S. housing starts, home sales, mortgage rates |
| Commercial Construction |
Information on light commercial construction |
| Building Green |
News and information on sustainable building practices |
| California News |
Housing & residential construction, commercial construction, building green, California law |
| Arizona News |
Housing & residential construction, commercial construction, building green |
| Nevada News |
Housing & residential construction, commercial construction, building green |
| Commodities |
Steel, cement, lumber, gypsum |
| Legislative & Labor |
OSHA/Safety, labor issues, Worker’s Comp, legislative and regulatory updates |
| Developers & Builders |
Centex, D.R. Horton, KB Homes, Lennar, Pulte |
U.S. Economy
Consumer Confidence rose, but builder confidence continued to fall. Retail sales and consumer
spending were up, but consumer prices also rose. Single family home starts and new and existing
home sales all fell. The unemployment rate went up, but job losses weren’t as heavy as feared. The
markets gained and lost hundreds of points over the month on worries about the economy, fluctuating
oil prices, housing and the financial markets. For the month of June the DOW gained 28 points to
close at 11,378, the NASDAQ rose 33 points to close at 2,325, and the S&P fell 13 points to end the
month at 1,267.
Currency Watch
Rates as of July 31, 2008
| Eurodollar |
1 Euro = 1.558 Dollars |
$1.00 = 0.641 Euros |
| Japanese Yen | 1 Yen = 0.009 Dollars |
$1.00 = 108.05 Yen |
| Chinese Yuan |
1 Yuan = 0.146 Dollars |
$1.00 = 6.840 Yuan |
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INCHES UP
- The New York-based Consumer Conference Board’s
Consumer Confidence Index rose .9 of a point to
51.9. It was the first improvement in five months. The
Expectations Index rose to 43 from 41.4. The Present
Situation Index was virtually unchanged at 65.3 after
falling over ten points in June. Lynn Franco, director of
the Conference Board’s Consumer Research Center,
said, “While consumers’ appraisal of current conditions
was little changed, the modest improvement in expectations,
often a harbinger of economic times to come,
bears careful watching over the next few months.”
CONSUMER SPENDING DROPS
- Consumer spending fell 0.2% in June after rising
0.8% in May. The inflation gauge tied to consumer
spending was up 0.8% in June, the biggest increase
since 1981. The big jump in inflation ate up part of the
billions of dollars in stimulus payments that were delivered
during the month.
QUARTERLY CONSUMER SPENDING UP
- Consumers boosted their spending by 1.5% during
the second quarter, up from 0.9% during the first quarter.
It was the best showing since the third quarter of
2007. Spending on furniture and household appliances
was up; spending on automobiles was down.
CONSUMER PRICES JUMP
- Consumer prices jumped 1.1% in June after rising
0.6% in May. Core inflation was up a more moderate
0.3%. Both increases were greater than analysts had
expected. Consumer prices are up 5% over the past 12
months, the fastest one-year increase since 1991.
Higher energy costs led the way, with gas prices up
more than 10%. Food costs are also climbing. Soaring
gas prices have people driving less and cutting back on
things like restaurant meals and entertainment.
UNEMPLOYMENT CLIMBS
- The unemployment rate rose to 5.7% in July from
5.5% in June, and now stands at a four year high. Employers
cut 51,000 jobs, fewer than economists had
expected. Job losses for both May and June were also
smaller than previously reported. It was the seventh
month in a row the job market contracted. There were
heavy job losses in construction, manufacturing and
financial services, and cutbacks in the retail sector. The
economy has now lost a total of 463,000 jobs this year.
DURABLE GOODS ORDERS UP
- Demand for durable goods rose 0.8% in June, after
rising an upwardly revised 0.1% in May. After stripping
out the volatile transportation category, orders were
up 2%. Orders for non-defense capital goods excluding
aircraft, widely seen as a good proxy for business
spending, rose 1.4% in June after declining 0.8% in
May. Analysts say the report indicates the manufacturing
sector may be able to limp through the economic
downturn.
CHICAGO PMI UP AGAIN
- The Chicago PMI, the bellwether manufacturing index,
rose to 50.8 in July from 49.6 in June. It was the
first time the Index has been over 50 since January.
New Orders rose to 53.5 from 52. Prices Paid, considered
a measure of inflationary pressure, jumped to 90.7
from 85.5. The Chicago report is considered an indicator
of nationwide activity ahead. A reading above 50 indicates
that the sector is growing.
WHOLESALE PRICES CLIMB
- The Producer Price Index, which measures cost
pressures before they reach the consumer, went up
1.8% in June after rising 1.4% in May. Core wholesale
inflation, which excludes food and energy, was up
just 0.2%. Over the past twelve months wholesale
prices have gone up 9.2%, the largest year-over-year
surge since June 1981, another period when soaring
energy costs were causing economic problems.
GDP RISES
- The first reading on second quarter GDP showed
that the economy grew at 1.9%, a big improvement
over the weak 0.9% growth logged during the first quarter,
but less than the 2.4% economists were expecting.
Revisions show that GDP actually contracted by 0.2%
during the final quarter of 2007, instead of growing at the
0.6% pace reported. Builders cut back on residential
projects by 15.6% during the quarter, an improvement
over the 25.1% cut in the first quarter.
ECONOMY FACING DIFFICULTIES
- Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress the fragile
economy is facing “numerous difficulties” despite
the Fed’s aggressive interest rate reductions and other
steps meant to shore up the faltering economy. One of
the most problematic is inflation, as rising prices for energy
and food are helping to spread inflation throughout
the economy. The Fed now believes growth for the
year will be 1.6%, sluggish but better than first projected.
However inflation could be as high as 4.2%.
RECORD DEFICIT PROJECTED
- According to the latest estimates, the next president
will have to deal with a record budget deficit of $482
billion, driven by the sagging economy and the stimulus
payments made to 130 million households. However, the
White House did not include its full estimate of war costs,
and the Associated Press says that the deficit will actually
be at least $80 billion more than reported. The deficit
would be about 3% of the size of the economy, which is
the measure economists see as relevant. By that measure
the deficit would be smaller than those run in the
1980s and early 1990s.
MINIMUM WAGE RAISED
- The federal minimum wage increased from $5.15 to
$5.85 per hour effective July 24th. It was the second of
three planned increases in the minimum wage. The final
increase to $7.25 occurs next July. In states that have
their own minimum wage laws, employees are entitled to
whichever minimum is higher.
Top of the Document
HOUSING & Residential CONSTRUCTION
HOUSING STARTS MIXED
- Housing starts rose 9.1% in June to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 1.07 million after dropping 3.3% in
May. But NAHB says the jump was misleading, as it
was due to a one-time bump in multifamily activity related
to newly instituted building code changes in New York
City. Excluding the Northeast multifamily data, housing
starts fell 4% overall. Overall starts fell 8.2% in the
West and 10.5% in the Midwest. Starts were up 0.4% in
the South and more than doubled in the Northeast.
- Single family starts dropped 5.3% to a seasonally adjusted
annual rate of 647,000 units, the slowest pace in
17 years. Single family building permits dropped 3.5% to
a rate of 613,000 units.
- Overall building permits were up 73% in June, due to
the New York data. Permits were up 0.9% in the West
and 3% in the South. Permits dropped 2% in the Midwest.
BUILDER CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO FALL
- The HMI (Housing Market Index) fell two points to 16
in July, a new record low. The HMI was down 3 points
in the West to 13, 6 points in the Midwest to 10 and 1
point in the South to 13. Confidence was up 2 points in
the Northeast to 14. Builders reported that traffic was off
considerably, with buyers waiting on the sidelines for
conditions to improve.
NEW HOME SALES SLIP
- Sales of new homes fell 0.6% in June to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of 530,000 units, after falling 2.5%
in May. Sales were down 0.9% in the West and 2% in
the South. Sales were up 5.3% in the Northeast and
2.5% in the Midwest. Inventory dropped 5.3% to 426,000
units, a 10 month supply at the current pace.
EXISTING HOME SALES FALL
- Sales of existing homes fell 2.6% in June to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of 4.86 million units after rising
2% in May. Single family home sales dropped 3.2% to a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.27 million, 14.8%
below the June pace a year ago. The median price
dropped to $213,800, down 6.7% from a year ago. Sales
were up 1% in the West, but down 6.6% in the Northeast,
3.4% in the Midwest and 3.1% in the South. Inventories
rose 0.2% to 4.49 million units, an 11.1 month supply at
the June sales pace.
MORTGAGE RATES UP SLIGHTLY
- At the end of July Freddie Mac reported the average
interest rate on a 30-year FRM rose to 6.52% from
6.45% the end of June. Analysts say if rates go over 7%
sales will be depressed even further.
HOME PRICES DROP
- Home prices tumbled by a record 15.8% in June, according
to the S&Ps Case-Shiller 20-city index. For the
second month in a row, no city in the index saw price
gains. Nine metros posted record declines, including Las
Vegas, Miami, Phoenix, Los Angeles, San Diego, and
San Francisco. Las Vegas recorded the worst drop, with
prices plunging 28.4%.
FORECLOSURE FILINGS SOAR
- The number of households facing foreclosure more
than doubled in the second quarter, with 739,714
homes receiving at least one foreclosure-related notice.
That’s one in every 171 U.S. households. Nevada, California,
Arizona and Florida continued to have the
highest foreclosure rates, with one in every 43 Nevada
households receiving a filing. Stockton, California led the
metro area foreclosures, with one in every 25 homes
receiving a filing, seven times the national average.
Economists estimate 2.5 million homes nationwide will
enter foreclosure this year, up from 1.5 million in 2007.
LANDMARK HOUSING BILL PASSED
- Months of advocacy efforts by NAHB, big builders,
and many other industry groups finally paid off when
when President Bush signed a housing stimulus
package. The package is designed to help home buyers,
stop the slide in home prices, provide a lifeline to borrowers
facing foreclosure, improve mortgage liquidity and
bolster confidence in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The
program provides a $7,500 tax credit for first time
buyers, creates a new regulator for Fannie and Freddie,
establishes a $300 billion program to expand the FHA’s
ability to guarantee mortgages, has provisions to help
people prevent foreclosure and provides funding to buy
and rehab foreclosed homes. First time buyers accounted
for 39% of home sales last year.
FED TO BACKSTOP FANNIE & FREDDIE
- The Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department
announced steps to brace battered mortgage giants
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The companies’ shares
have plummeted as losses from mortgage holdings
threaten their financial survival. The plan was released
over a weekend in a clear attempt to reassure markets
that the government is prepared to do whatever it takes
to prevent a crisis. The Fed authorized the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York to loan the two companies the
funds they need “if necessary” at 2.25%. The Treasury
Department is seeking expedited authority from Congress
to expand its current line of credit to the companies
and make an equity investment in them if needed, saying
that Fannie and Freddie play a central role in our housing
finance system. They’re also seeking an oversight role
for the Fed on capitalization requirements. Fannie and
Freddie hold or back $5.3 trillion of mortgage debt, about
half the outstanding mortgages in the U.S.
FED PLANS TO CURB SHADY MORTGAGES
- The Fed adopted new rules aimed at preventing risky
subprime loans. The new regulations will bar lenders
from making loans without proof of the borrowers’ income,
and will require them to make sure risky borrowers
have money set aside for taxes and insurance. They also
won’t be able to penalize them for paying off loans early.
The rules take effect October 1.
HOUSING FORECAST FROM FED
- San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen said that
the glut of homes on the market will continue to
weigh on prices and curb construction activity well
into 2009. She was speaking to the University of California
San Diego Economics Roundtable.
SMALLER HOMES MAKING A COMEBACK
- A number of trends suggest that Americans are willing
to trade down to a smaller home in order to be
able to afford more amenities. Several demographic
trends are contributing, including a booming generation
of empty-nesters, and a shrinking number of married
couples with children, who now represent just 24% of
households, down from 40% in 1970.
PAWN SHOPS REFLECT ECONOMY
- Pawn USA, a national chain of pawn shops, says that
the unprecedented quantities of drills, nail guns,
compressors and other professional tools being
pawned speak to the woeful state of the economy and the housing and construction markets “better than all
those economists with their Ph.Ds.” They say there is so
much coming in, they can afford to be choosy and only
take top quality tools in excellent condition.
FDIC TAKES OVER BANKS
- The FDIC took over 28 branches of the 1st National
Bank of Nevada and First Heritage Bank, operating in
Nevada, Arizona and California. The closed banks had
total assets of $3.6 billion. Earlier in the month customers
of IndyMac Bank in Southern California waited in line for
hours to withdraw funds. All FDIC-insured bank deposits
are guaranteed by the FDIC up to $100,000, and regulators
say there is no need for customers to panic.
ROOFING DEMAND TO GROW
- The demand for roofing materials contracted sharply
in 2006 and 2007 due to the downturn in new residential
construction. According to a new study from Freedonia
Group the recovery of the residential market and an
increase in commercial construction will help fuel 2%
growth per year through 2012. Residential reroofing
will also contribute to increased demand. Roofing tile and
plastic roofing are anticipate to grow the fastest. Plastic
roofing is used primarily in nonresidential construction.
They say demand will be highest in the West, where
construction contracted most severely.
INCENTIVES GETTING CREATIVE
- Builders say that prices have come down so much,
the days of huge incentives are at least temporarily
over, and are offering more creative inducements instead.
Some builders are trying to entice people into touring
their subdivisions by offering gas cards to clients who
pre-qualify for a loan and then visit one of their subdivisions.
Others are offering to pay moving expenses, and
one builder is offering to pay $150 a month towards the
homeowners utility bills for 10 years. Wellsford Realty in
San Diego will rebate one-third of its commission to
same-sex clients getting married, so they can “celebrate
their wedding day or plan the perfect honeymoon.”
Top of the Document
COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION
- Nonresidential building dropped 12% in June to an
annualized rate of $233.2 billion after a 32% jump in
May. Much of the strength in May came from the start of
a massive $3.8 billion oil refinery expansion in Indiana.
June also included the start of a $1.9 billion refinery addition
in Michigan. Without these two projects nonresidential
building would be down 4%. Store construction
slipped 4% and warehouse construction dropped 2%.
Hotel construction jumped 35%, boosted by a couple of
big projects in the East. Office construction was up 4%.
The construction of healthcare facilities dropped 31%.
Educational building climbed 8%. Other institutional categories
were up as well, with public buildings up 6%, dormitories
up 10%, churches up 20% and transportation
terminals up 33%. For the first half of the year nonresidential
building was up 6%.
- Nonbuilding construction was up 19% in June, to
$139.9 billion, reflecting an increase in work on power
plants, pipelines and sewers. For the first six months
of the year, nonbuilding construction dropped 3%.
- Total construction for the first half dropped 16%, reflecting big double-digit declines in three regions, with
the West down 26%, the South Atlantic down 28% and
the Midwest down 11%. Only the Northeast saw an increase.
Top of the Document
BUILDING GREEN
From the Green Building Conference:
- Green has gone mainstream. McGraw Hill Construction estimates that we’ve hit the “tipping point” for builders to
go green. Green home building will generate between
$12 billion and $20 billion in sales this year, gaining a
6 – 10% share of the housing market, up from a 2%
share in 2005. Green building is expected to double
over the next five years, reaching a 12% to 20% share
of the market and $40 to $70 billion in sales by 2012
applications.
- The Pacific, South Atlantic and Mountain regions are
experiencing the strongest growth. States with the highest
percentage of green home purchases from 2004
to 2006 were Nevada, Washington, Colorado, Texas
and Florida.
- The most important green material options were hiperformance,
engineered wood products (78%) allergen-
free, chemical-free building materials (66%) recycled
building materials (63%) alternatives to wood products
(61%) and certified sustainable harvested lumber (53%).
- The most highly rated green materials: OSB (78%),
alternatives to dimensional lumber (72%), construction
waste reduction (55%), easily available products and
materials (54%) and recycled/recyclable products (52%).
- There will be more emphasis on water efficiency, as
water prices are rising everywhere.
- There is growing interest in “passive survivability” –
how long homes can perform in a disaster without power
and other services.
- There is increasing pressure on code officials to
place more emphasis on sustainability as a global
health issue and on energy efficiency as a feature for the
public good.
- The insurance industry is studying whether to offer
discounts on certified green homes, and real estate
and appraisal professionals are trying to figure out how to
determine their additional value.
- More innovative products are expected as green technologies
move beyond their first generation, including
low-flow showerheads that feel as powerful as they used
to be and water-efficient toilets that do a better job of
flushing.
Other Green News:
- According to the latest Eco Pulse green marketing
consumer survey, consumers are not fully embracing
green building because most are not aware of
what is required and the costs involved. The survey is
conducted annually by the Shelton Group. They report
that most consumers don’t realize you can pick and
choose green features, and that marketers need to make
green purchasing decisions easier to understand. Shelton
said solar power is a big stumbling block, because it
is very expensive and most consumers believe it is required.
78% believe that green products sometimes to
always cost more, but are willing to pay a premium for
products that will increase their home’s efficiency and
lower monthly bills. 49% are interested in being green in
order to save energy. Of 800 consumers polled in October
2007 by NAHB, 64% said reducing energy costs
would be the most important factor in their decision to
purchase a new green home of do green remodeling.
- 84% of builders surveyed by McGraw Hill said energy
costs and utility rebates are an important trigger in
the demand for green homes and 76% found there was
no difference in the approval time of a green home vs. a
traditionally built one. 40% of those surveyed reported
that the down market is making it easier to market
green homes; another 16% said it’s much easier.
- 49% of adults surveyed said features such as solar
panels or energy saving appliances were more important
than luxury amenities, according to a recent
Harris Interactive poll.
- According to the NAHB quarterly Remodeling Market
Index, 33% of remodelers surveyed say they are getting
more calls to improve the energy efficiency of
their client’s homes. 73% installed more energy-efficient
windows, 65% upgraded insulation, 56% installed highefficiency
HVAC systems, 4% installed high-efficiency
kitchen appliances and 46% installed water-saving faucets
and fixtures. 35% reported installing tankless water
heaters.
- The NAHB Research Center accredited its 100th verifier
for National Green Building Certification. Verifiers
inspect homes to determine whether they meet the national
certification criteria. Builders who want to have a
home certified can find an accredited verifier at
www.nahb.com.
- Just five months after its introduction, nearly 800
builders, remodelers and other industry professionals
have earned the Certified Green Professional designation from NAHB. Earning the designation requires
completing a 16-hour Green Building for Building Professionals
class, eight hours of business management instruction
and a minimum of two years of industry experience.
For information email Calli Schmidt at
cschmidt@nahb.com or call her at 800-368-5242 x8132.
- NAHB has advised the Federal Trade Commission
that it should emphasize consistency, credible standards
and consumer education to ensure manufacturers
are making accurate claims about “green” products.
- Integrity Block from Los Altos, California, is introducing
a “green” concrete block that will be eligible
for LEED credits. It expects to start shipping during the
fourth quarter. The block is made from engineered soil
composite, and the company says it will remove more
CO2 from the atmosphere than traditional concrete block.
It’s designed for structural, architectural and landscape
The NAHB honored 17 building professionals for
innovations in green home building, including Del Sur
Black Mountain Ranch LLC in San Diego, honored as a
Development of the Year.
- The NAHB told the National Association of Realtors
Land Use Property Rights and Environmental Forum
that the greatest potential increase in home energy
efficiency can be achieved through green remodeling. They noted there were more than 125 million existing
single family homes in the U.S. that could potentially
be given an energy efficiency makeover. 92% of home
buyers say energy efficiency is very or somewhat
important when considering buying a new home, and
90% would be willing to pay $5,000 more for a house that
would use less energy and protect the earth.
- The U.S. Green Building Council is in the process of
updating its LEED certification system for commercial
buildings. The big ideas proposed include transparent
weighting of LEED credits so the highest priority
credits achieve the most points, a new mechanism for
incorporating bioregional credits and a more nimble
framework that supports rapid response to emerging
environmental and human health issues.
- The EPA will soon unveil its draft WaterSense specification
for new homes, incorporating criteria for product
categories earning the WaterSense label (toilets and
faucets) and requiring many other practices and technologies
aimed at bringing water efficiency into the entire
home. Residential water use accounts for more than
half of publicly supplied water in the United States. A
WaterSense labeled new home will be designed to use
about 20% less water than average and feature Energy
Star qualified dishwashers and washing machines, and a
system that delivers hot water faster.
- The DOE unveiled a new report outlining the technical
feasibility of wind power in providing 20% of our
nation’s electricity needs by 2030. For more information
on the Wind and Hydropower Technologies Program,
visit the DOE Web site at www.doe.gov.
- Purchasing.com reports that companies are finding
ways to make environmentally friendly purchasing
pay off, saying that buying green can conserve both the
environment and your budget. They reported that IBM,
Herman Miller and GlaxoSmithKline have all found that
green can pay off. IBM has found that sustainable sourcing
and supply chain efficiency can go hand in hand.
Herman Miller uses Green concepts to optimize the lifecycle
of their products. GlaxoSmithKline purchasing
works with the company’s research and development
staff to find ways to save energy and water and cut down
on emissions. Purchasing.com says that CEOS and
CIOS are looking for their suppliers to provide environmentally
conscious products that also make economic
sense.
- At a forum held by the Lumber and Building Materials
Institute, pro dealers supported the concept of an
easy to track “eco—label” that could be stamped on
soft lumber harvested from sustainable forests. Dealers
criticized the existing chain of custody system but representatives
of the Forest Stewardship Council and the
Sustainable Forest Initiative supported it. ProBuild CEO
Paul Hylbert said his company is very supportive of both
sustainability and green building as well as all the major
certification systems, but said a more efficient way to
track sustainability is needed.
- Can you call a shipping container home? Some members
of the American Institute of Architects Custom Residential
Design Committee say that the 8 x 40 foot steel
shipping containers often left vacant at seaports can become
distinctive housing on land. Homes use anywhere
from four to eight containers. There are about 75 homes
nationwide made out of shipping containers thus far.
Top of the Document
CALIFORNIA NEWS
CA HOUSING & RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION
- Single family permits dropped 54.9% in June to 3,954;
so far permits for the year are off about 55%. The California
Building Industry Association says that the underlying
demographics for housing remain strong in California and are expected to get even stronger, but the
immediate outlook remains grim.
- Nearly 200,000 home building related jobs have been
lost during the past two years, and the downturn in the
residential real estate sector has had a big impact on
related businesses, like furniture, interior decorators,
landscapers and others.
- CBIA Chief Economist Alan Nevin says that sharp
home price declines for California tend to be overstated because they are only based on homes sold, and
40% of those have been involved in foreclosures. In Riverside
and Sacramento, more than 70% of home sales
have been in foreclosures.
- John Laing Homes is consolidating its three northern
California divisions into one division near Sacramento.
The new office will oversee 22 communities.
- Redding is cutting building fees in half, boosting energy-
efficient incentives by 50%, postponing annual impact
fee increases and allowing builders to pay these
fees after the final home inspection has been completed.
- Beverly Hills homebuilder Kennedy Wilson Residential
Development and Investments Group purchased
163 finished residential lots in Victorville from Pulte
Homes in anticipation of the High Desert residential market
rebounding during the next few years.
- In the Santa Clarita/Antelope Valley region six out of
seven projects during the second quarter were built
by publicly held companies, with Pulte Homes leading
the pack, followed by Hovnanian, D.R. Horton and KB
Home. Net sales dropped 2% to 419 homes. The drop
came from a plunge in attached sales; the detached sector,
which makes up nearly 97% of the market, showed a
3% gain over last quarter.
- Analysts say that the falloff in housing prices and
lack of land to build on is signaling an end to the era
of big public builders in San Diego, and creating new
opportunities for local builders.
- A controversial plan that would allow 3,000 houses
to be built in the western edge of Valley Center in
San Diego was taken off the general plan update map by country supervisors. More than 100 Valley Center
residents attended the meeting to protest the huge development.
Amidst allegations of impropriety between the
developer and a council member, the development was
removed from the map, but may be added back in after
further study.
- A year ago Victorville was America’s second fastest
growing city; now foreclosures in the county have more
than doubled, and new home prices have plunged 43%.
- Pulte is moving forward with the third phase of its
Sun City Shadow Hills project in Palm Springs. The
project will add 947 homes, a new clubhouse and an 18-
hole golf course to the retirement community in North
Indio. On completion Shadow Hills will have 3,424
homes. Despite the general downturn in housing, sales in
the development are strong.
- Home sales in Fresno and Clovis were up for the fifth
month in a row; real estate agents say falling prices and
ample supplies are enticing buyers to move off the sidelines.
In June 498 existing homes were sold, up from 472
in May, and 276 in February. They’re seeing lots of activity
at entry level prices. One of every 62 households is in
default in Fresno; they have the 15th highest foreclosure
rate in the nation. The median price has tumbled 31.5%
over two years to $215,000. Building permits went up in
June as builders sought to get permits before more restrictive
requirements went into effect in July.
- Developers in Thousand Oaks in Ventura County will
either have to include affordable units in residential
projects of six or more units or pay a fee under a new
Affordable Housing Ordinance. 10% of units must be
affordable to moderate income households; the ordinance
allows those units to be 20% smaller, and have
less-expensive interior finishes. Developers building retail,
office and industrial project of more than 7,500
square feet will be subjected to fees that will go into an
affordable housing trust fund.
CA COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION
- The city of Redding recorded $13.2 million in building
valuation in June, the highest month since September.
Trader Joe’s is building in the Kohl’s shopping center.
A gas station-convenience store at College View
Drive was also permitted in June.
- Pacific Union College in Napa Valley originally unveiled
plans for a 591-home eco-village, including a
new park and community stores. The project, to be built
by private developer Triad Communities, has since been
scaled back to 380 homes. Some residents of Angwin
are opposed to any development, and want to preserve
the rural nature of the community. PUC officials say the
project is essential for the college to remain viable.
- Butterfly Village in Rancho San Juan north of Salinas
is finally moving forward after a legal settlement between
the developer and the county resulted in a raft of
changes to the proposed project, which has gone from a
2,500 acre 4,000 home golf course development down to
a 671 acre, 1,147 home proposal that also includes some
commercial development. Two previous versions of the
project have been rejected by voters.
- 78 ski-in/ski-out fractional ownership residences are
being built as part of a large renovation project at the
Northstar Resort. The Ritz-Carlton Club, Lake Tahoe, is
scheduled to open in late 2009.
- The Manteca Planning commission approved the
300-unit Tesoro Apartment project. It still has to be
approved by the City Council before construction can
begin on the AKF Development project.
- A $900 million plan to transform the Westfield University
Towne Center mall into a walkable village was
approved by the La Jolla City Council. The original proposal
was submitted seven years ago. The village will
have shopping, housing, movie theaters, restaurants and
other attractions.
CA BUILDING GREEN
- California received national recognition for becoming
the first state to mandate uniform standards for
green building when they adopted the California
Green Building Codes in July. The new green codes
will be phased in over the next three years, and will become
mandatory in 2010. They target water and energy
use, air quality and moisture control and contain many
provisions aimed at resource conservation. A number of
organizations helped in the drafting, including the California
Building Industry Association and the Lumber Association
of California and Nevada.
Highlights of the New Green Building Code:
- New California homes will be approximately 50%
more energy efficient than homes built to national energy
standards.
- A 20% reduction in overall water use within all new
homes starting in July 2011.
- 16 features addressing air quality, moisture control
and resource conservation will become mandatory at
the same time the new 2010 edition of the California
building Code takes affect, currently scheduled for January
2011.
- Builders will be required to give occupants a detailed
building operation and maintenance manual at time of
occupancy.
Other Green News:
- A million square foot warehouse-distribution facility
at Victorville’s Southern California Logistics Centre
is complete. Now all the green building needs is a tenant.
The project is a milestone in transforming the former
George Air Force Base into Global Access Victorville, an
8,500 acre transportation and logistics hub expected to
create 24,000 jobs.
- Oakland City Council President Ignacio De La Fuente
has promised to introduce green building legislation
later this year to force developers to include a base
level of environmentally friendly features in new residential
projects. He says projects should meet a standard set
by the Berkeley-based nonprofit Build It Green’s Green-
Point Rated system. De La Fuente’s proposal goes to the
City Council in September, when they return from summer
recess. The plan would cover residential development
of 20 or more units, but he said he eventually
hopes it will cover all new residential construction.
- Parker Development of El Dorado Hills, California,
was one of two builders honored by NAHB with the
2008 Building with Trees Award of Excellence for
exemplary conservation practices on their projects,
especially protecting and saving existing trees. Parker
won for their development The Parkway. This 612-acre
master community in Folsom, California has 240 acres of
open space that preserves majestic woodlands and wetlands,
and the developer also restored damaged wetlands
to form a central park.
CALIFORNIA LAW
- A new law authorizing local cities and counties to
extend subdivision maps by one year was signed by
Governor Schwarzenegger and goes into effect immediately.
A second housing bill encouraging local governments
to defer the collection of impact fees until a new
home sells is on its way to the governor’s desk.
- The U.S. Supreme Court has overturned a California
law restricting employer free speech about unions. The law prohibited the use of state funds to either promote
or deter unionization. According to the Court, states
may no longer restrict an employer’s right to communicate
with their employees about unionization.
- The U.S. Supreme Court confirmed the 9th Circuit
precedent that in Age Discrimination in Employment
Act cases, the employer must prove their reasons for
termination were lawful despite any disparate effect on
employees over the age of 40.
- The 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals found that employees
have a right to privacy over information held
on third party servers, as opposed to company owned
and controlled servers. The employer had received information
from a third party vendor that employees had
transmitted through company-owned equipment. The
Court said the vendor should not have released that information.
- The California Supreme Court clarified the Workers’
Comp medical review process, saying that the language
shows the Legislature intended for employers to
use the utilization review process to review and resolve
all employee requests for treatment of a workers’ comp
injury. If employees are dissatisfied with an employer’s
decision they can use Section 4062 to resolve the dispute,
but employers cannot use this section to object to
employee’s treatment request.
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ARIZONA NEWS
AZ HOUSING & RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION
- Under the terms of an initiative headed toward the
statewide ballot, buyers would be entitled to a 10-
year warranty when they buy a new home. The initiative
was financed almost exclusively by the Sheet Metal
Workers International Association. The proposal would
also allow homeowners to help choose the contractors
hired by the builders to make repairs, give buyers the
right to cancel within 100 days and get back most of their
deposit and let homeowners sue without fear of having to
pay the builder’s legal fees if they lose.
- Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano announced a tollfree
helpline for families facing foreclosure. Arizona
had the third highest rate of foreclosure in the country for
the first quarter.
- Maricopa, about 35 miles south of Phoenix, is asking
builders not to develop isolated subdivisions, but
rather whole communities that encourage walking by
including stores, schools and services nearby. They are
trying to attract more employers and services, as people
are now less willing to make long commutes to work.
- Lennar has scaled back its $1 billion Asante project
in Surprise. The 3,600 acre community was to have
included 14,000 homes, schools, a big retail center and a
park. It’s been called the city’s economic epicenter of the
future. Lennar opened the project in July by launching a
60 acre housing development called the Vistas. They’d
been planning on opening with three or four different
developments. Developer Barclay Group is reportedly
reevaluating its commercial plans for the area as well.
- Pulte CEO Richard Dugas says they’ve increased
their market share in the Phoenix area from 8% to
between 12 - 14% during the downturn. He says it’s not
because they’re selling more homes, but rather because
a lot of competitors have fallen by the wayside. When
Pulte acquired Del Webb in 2001, the brand was in only
a dozen communities; now it’s in more than 40 and outperforming
the new home market. Del Webb customers
tend to be affluent, with 50% paying cash for their home.
- Homeowners in Prescott Canyon Estates are suing
Lowe’s, saying that construction of a Lowe’s store just
feet from homes in what used to be rugged, wild terrain
has caused property values to plummet.
- Luxury builder Toll Brothers opened the first model
homes at the Wigwam Resort and Golf Club in Litchfield
Park. They plan to put up 343 homes selling from
the mid-$400,000s to the upper $500,000s over the next
three years. The company says they typically target
empty nesters moving up, but they are now getting buyers
in their 30s and 40s.
- The adobe home of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Sandra
Day O’Connor and John O’Connor will be moved
from Paradise Valley and relocated to Papago Park in
Tempe, where it will become a center for civic discourse
on issues affecting Arizona. The house was scheduled
for demolition when Barbara Barrett and Gay Wray
launched the O’Connor House project to save it and put it
to good use. Janie Ellis, the daughter of the brick maker
who supplied the original adobe bricks, is in charge of
moving the house. Justice O’Connor helped to smooth
the mud and then sprayed it with skim milk to seal the
exterior walls. The house will be reassembled block-byblock
on its new site near the Arizona Historical Society
Museum.
AZ COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION
- McGraw-Hill Construction reports that starts in April
were down 44% over last year in the entire Phoenix
metropolitan area and down year to date by 46% to
$1.4 billion.
- Downtown Phoenix is growing at a phenomenal rate, with much of the growth occurring in the city’s downtown
urban core. A whole new crop of buildings are being
started at Arizona State University.
- JE Dunn Construction of Phoenix will construct
phases two and three of Westgate City Center, with
phase two breaking ground this summer. The next two
phase are estimated at $240 million, and will include residential,
retail and office buildings as well as multiple
parking garages.
- JE Dunn is also working on a major border crossing
project that includes a new commercial land port of entry
between the U.S. and Mexico. The $30 million project
should be completed in early 2009.
DeBartolo Development broke ground on its first
project in Arizona, the first phase on the 114-acre
Mountain Vista Marketplace in Mesa. The mixed use
project will include retail, hotels, restaurants and 384
upscale apartment residences.
- Mortenson construction broke ground on Arizona
State University’s Weatherup Center, a 50,000 square
foot practice facility for men’s and women’s basketball.
The $12.7 million facility is scheduled to be completed in
Spring 2009.
- Irgens Development Partners LLC bought 1.75 acres
of land on the north bank of Tempe Town Lake in
Tempe. They plan to develop a Class A office building
using post-tensioned concrete construction and synthetic
plaster exterior.
- Phoenix Children’s Hospital unveiled plans for a
$588 million multi-year expansion at the Thomas Road
campus. The project should be completed in 2012.
- Newland Communities bought 3,000 more acres for
its master-planned development Estrella in Goodyear. Acquisition price for the land was $51.3 million, or
about $17,000 an acre. The company says it’s a longterm
land acquisition with development planned for the
next twenty-five years.
- Sundt Construction won a $15 million contract to
build a six-level, 945-space parking garage for Sky
Song, the Innovation Center for ASU at Scottsdale.
Top of the Document
NEVADA NEWS
NV HOUSING & RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION
- Southern Nevada had 3,192 foreclosures in the first
quarter, about 35 a day, an 89.4% increase from last
year. A 28.5% price reduction helped local home sales
improve, but a year of inventory still remains.
- Southern Nevada’s top five builders are all big production
builders, including Pulte/Del Webb, KB Home,
Richmond American, Lennar and D.R. Horton.
- Thirteen year old privately held Astoria Homes says
they have an advantage over big public builders, and
expect sales to remain consistent with 2007. They have
eight active neighborhoods, with five new neighborhoods
coming on board this year. They produce homes from
$160,000 to $2 million. They have a 700-acre land inventory
of which only half is developed.
- KB Home is moving ahead with construction and
sales of affordable townhomes at Inspirada, a masterplanned
community in west Henderson.
- The percentage of homes in Las Vegas selling for
under $250,000 went from 28.2% in 2005 to 42% in
2008; homes under $300,000 went from 44.8% to
64.5% in the same period. Las Vegas’ housing opportunity
index, which measures what percentage of median
income households can afford a median priced home,
has gone from 64.4% in 2000 to 25% in 2007, according
to real estate consultant Tim Sullivan of the Sullivan
Group. He says there are at least 21 active subdivisions
in Las Vegas with at least one floor plan under $150,000.
NV COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION
- The $2 billion City Crossing project in Henderson
has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The 6
million square foot mixed use development being built by
Las Vegas based Plise Development & Construction
broke ground last year. $30 million in site improvements
are underway. Phase One plans call for 175,000 square
feet of retail space, an eight story office building, 184
apartments and a 160-room boutique hotel. City Crossing
filed to reorganize $180 million in debt in June, but has
not been able to thus far.
- Sierra Bay Contractors is constructing a new threelevel
parking facility for the Peppermill Hotel and Casino
in Las Vegas that’s scheduled to be completed in
December.
- The number of stalled, cancelled and scaled-back
commercial projects is increasing, as developers
struggle with financing and other obstacles. A 20,000
seat $500 million sports arena planned by Harrah’s Entertainment
behind Bally’s and the $1 billion REI Neon
project proposed in downtown Las Vegas are both still in
the planning phases, even though construction was supposed
to start in July.
- Frank Pankratz was a senior exec with Pulte/Del
Webb for over 16 years. After a brief break he
launched Executive Home Builders, the firm behind
One Queensridge Place, a $400 million, 219-unit residential
development that is Las Vegas’ only high-rise
community outside of the Strip. He is now overseeing
work across the street on Tivoli Village, an $850 million,
700,000 square foot retail entertainment complex now
under construction.
- Burke & Associates started construction on the new
$3.3 million Alexander library and park complex in
North Las Vegas. The project is scheduled for completion
in early 2009.
- JVC Architects is designing modern multipurpose
buildings for C.C. Ronnow and Bertha Ronzone elementary
schools in the Clark County School District.
- CORE Construction-Nevada won the contract for the
$36.1 million Indian Springs Correctional Center
Work Camp, which includes six single-story masonry
and steel buildings requiring special security throughout.
- United Construction won a $14.1 million contract to
build Southwest Gas Corporation’s new Southern
Nevada Campus in North Las Vegas. The project includes
office buildings, warehouses, industrial space and
a storage yard.
- Nigro Construction was awarded a $1.3 million design-
build contract for Bank of George’s second community
bank branch in the Seven Hills area.
NV BUILDING GREEN
- The first WaterSmart Innovations Conference and
Exposition is set for October 8—10 in Las Vegas. It
will include educational seminars and an expo hall with
products and services for builders, landscapers, elected
officials, plumbers and water agency representatives.
NAHB is partnering with the Southern Nevada Water
authority, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency WaterSense
program and other organizations to produce the
conference. Presenters will be there from 24 states and
five nations, and more than 1,000 professionals are expected
to attend the conference.
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COMMODITIES
WHOLESALE PRICES RISE
- The Producer Price Index, which measures cost
pressures before they reach the consumer, went up
1.6% in June (1.8% seasonally adjusted) The PPI for
inputs to construction industries rose 1.8% for the
month and is up 10% over the past twelve months. The increase for construction inputs once again outstripped
the consumer price index.
- The PPI for inputs to construction industries rose a
cumulative 30.2% between December 2003 and January
2008, compared to a 14.5% rise for the Consumer
Price Index. According to a feature story in California
Construction, the major factors driving construction materials
prices are the price of oil, the value of the dollar and
demand from India , China and other growing economies
worldwide. Natural disasters, political unrest, strikes and
a host of other factors also affect prices.
STEEL
- The PPI for steel mill products was up 8.1% for June, and is up 30% over the past twelve months.
- Rebar manufacturers raised prices another $60/ton
August 1, according to Data Digest. The Construction
Reinforcing Steel Institute estimates U.S. rebar demand
of 9.4 million tons will exceed domestic production of 8
million tons, implying further price increases ahead.
- Nucor opened a new steel plant in Memphis, and has
two more plants under construction in Mississippi and
Alabama. The average scrap and scrap substitute cost
per ton in the second quarter was $456, an increase of
37% over the first quarter and 57% over a year ago.
- Galvanized sheet steel prices are zooming, up nearly
50% in the second quarter despite falling demand. Further
increases have been announced for the third quarter.
Most coated steel, including zinc and painted sheet,
is geared mostly to two markets that are soft, motor vehicles
and housing. Galvanized sheet steel is 90% of all
coated steel and is used in metal buildings, swimming
pools, storage tanks, culverts, roofing, cladding, siding,
and electrical boxes. Analysts expect zinc-coated coldrolled
sheet prices to peak and level off in the third quarter,
but say that it will be several months before prices
start to slide. Galvanized sheet prices are now the highest
they’ve ever been.
- Hot rolled prices went up just 1% in June to $1,068/
ton. That’s 96% higher than prices were in December
2007. Despite predictions that prices would reach
$1,200/ton by July, some analysts now think prices have
peaked and will slip back to $1,050.
- Arcelor Mittal and U.S. Steel have begun applying
$250/ton levies on long term contracts for flat-rolled
products to adjust for increased raw material costs.
- Crude steel production for the 66 countries reporting
to the International Iron and Steel Institute is growing
by more than 5% this year. Production in China, India,
Japan and Korea is up substantially. North American
steel production through May was up 5.9%, with Mexico
growing 12% and the U.S. growing 5.4%.
- The CEOs of Nucor and Arcelor Mittal don’t support
the plan by the New York Mercantile Exchange to
launch steel futures trading, saying that it could encourage
unethical and illegal activity, and likening it to
the sub-prime mortgage crisis.
- Goldman Sachs says that global steel markets will
remain in a tight supply/demand balance for some
time to come. A letter to clients suggested that global
demand could outpace supply through 2017. They say
450-500 million metric tons of new steelmaking capacity
is needed to meet demand of 2.6 million metric tons by
2017, and that it will be difficult to bring that much capacity
online.
- Johnson Controls is suing four suppliers that want
to raise prices to compensate for the rising cost of
steel, saying that the companies are required by their
contracts to absorb higher raw material costs. The defendants
are Tecnicas De Fluidos of Puebla, Mexico; Steel
Technologies of Louisville, Ky.; Windsor Machine &
Stamping of Windsor, Ontario; and Illinois Tool Works of
Glenview, Ill. The companies produce stampings and
other components. A federal judge issued a temporary
restraining order preventing Tecnicas De Fluidos from
raising prices or halting shipments.
- Chrysler, Ford and General Motors have all discontinued
monthly scrap auctions, making it touch to track
this grade of prime steel scrap.
CEMENT
- The PPI for concrete was up 0.7% in June and is up
3.8% over the past twelve months. Asphalt paving mixtures
and blocs were up 6.7% in June and 17% over the
past twelve months.
LUMBER
- According to Random Lengths, framing composite
was at $273 the end of July, up from $262 the end of
June, but down from $289 a year ago. Structural panel
composite prices finished the month at $303, down
from $310 the end of June and $309 a year ago.
- A new California state law taking effect January 1,
2009 that limits the use of a cancer-causing chemical
in plywood and particle board has lumber producers
concerned they’ll get stuck with millions of dollars worth
of inventory that can’t be sold in California. Formaldehyde
is commonly used in the glue that binds plywood
layers as well as the bits of wood in particle and fiber
boar. The California Air Resources Board approved the
composite wood rule last year, saying it will cut formaldehyde
emissions in the state by 500 tons a year and eliminate
an estimated 3,400 cases of cancer statewide.
Building materials dealers say they don’t have enough
time to comply, as there are not anywhere near enough
inspectors to certify wood and they don’t have enough
time to sell off noncertified stock.
- Bennett Forest Industries and Riley Creek Lumber,
two big lumber producers based in Idaho, have
merged operations to help court larger retail customers,
including Home Depot and Lowe’s. The two companies
produce a total of about 740 million board feet annually.
- Louisiana-Pacific has settled an ongoing series of
OSB class action suits. They’re the fifth company to
come to a settlement in the antitrust case filed in 2006
that alleges that OSB manufacturers began conspiring
together in 2002 to artificially reduce the supply and inflate
the prices of OSB. All the companies have denied
the accusations, but have agreed to put money into an
escrow account for the benefit of a group of direct buyers
of OSB. LP is chipping in a total of $46.8 million.
- Weyerhauser is giving away five grand prizes of optimized
structural framing packages worth up to
$20,000 each. Grand prize winners will also receive a trip
for two to the 2009 International Builders’ Show in Las
Vegas. Interested builders have until November 30 to
enter the contest.
Top of the Document
Legislative & Labor
WASHINGTON UPDATE
- The Department of Labor is contacting home building
industry professionals in order to collect wage
and benefit information for the National Compensation
Survey and Occupational Employment Statistics
Survey. The information provided is used to create the
employment cost index that is used by the Federal Reserve
to set monetary policy. The surveys also provide
information on the employer’s cost for employee compensation
and the cost of employee benefits, as well as
national and local occupational employment and wage
estimates and vital input for national and state occupational
employment projections. NAHB is urging members
to participate, and says the Bureau of Labor Statistics
observes absolute confidentiality and will help
companies complete the survey as efficiently as possible.
- The EPA has a new brochure with tips on lead-safe
practices for remodelers. The free brochure is available
at www.epa.gov/lead, and outlines the procedures remodelers
must follow under the recently published Lead
Guidelines, and also reviews the tools and protective
clothing needed, how to set up safe work areas, how to
minimize dust, what to do inside and outside the work
area and more.
- Fuel surcharges are increasingly common, but NAHB
warns that fuel surcharges need to be disclosed, or
companies might be forced to refund them to consumers.
NAHB has a sample contract clause that authorizes the
addition of fuel surcharges to the cost of construction that
is to be paid by the consumer. It’s available on the NAHB
member Web site at www.nahb.com.
OSHA
- The NAHB expressed “strong disappointment” with a
recently published standard on workforce safety they
say has been deemed ineffective and unworkable by the
residential and commercial construction industry. The
development of the A10.40 standard on ergonomics was
spearheaded by the American Society of Safety Engineers.
NAHB says they subverted the American National
Standards Institute processes in order to impose their
own vision. An appeal brought about by the Construction
Employers Coalition was denied in June. Among the
standards NAHB considers impractical is one recommending
cutting drywall into three-foot pieces.
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Developers & Builders
CENTEX
- Centex waited until after the closing bell to announce
that first quarter revenues fell to $1.13 billion from
$1.90 billion. Analysts had been expecting a smaller loss.
- The former head of Centex’ home building operations
in Sacramento, Reno and the Bay Area has filed
a lawsuit alleging the company failed to pay him $355,000 in promised bonus money. Doug Pautsch, Jr.
was first their controller, then became division president
in 2006. He said he was terminated shortly after he filed
the suit. Centex says his termination was part of a division
consolidation program that took the area from three
divisions to just one. During much of his tenure Centex
dominated new home sales in the Sacramento area.
- Centex announced Centex Energy Advantage, a suite
of energy-efficient features that will be standard in all
Centex homes built nationwide by January 2009. Centex
commissioned NAHB to do a study modeling the energy
efficiency of these homes. The NAHB Research Center
concluded that the homes would be up to 22% more energy
efficient than comparable homes built to the 2006
International Energy Conservation Code and 40% more
energy efficient than a typical 10-year old home.
- Two California students were among the 24 winners
of Centex Build Your Future scholarships for the
2008-2009 academic year. The winners are Phyllis Ferguson,
majoring in construction engineering at San Diego
State, and Mary Gilliam, studying architecture at Bakersfield.
DR HORTON
- DRH reported a $1.3 billion quarterly loss for their
fiscal second quarter ending March 31. Revenue fell
from $2.62 billion to $1.62 billion. Results included over
$800 million in impairments and land options they’re
walking away from.
- Net sales for the quarter dropped to 7,528 homes
from 9,938 in the same quarter a year ago. The cancellation
rate was 33%. Average closing price dropped
8% to $237,800. They own or control 181,000 lots, a 5.2
year supply. Net sales of 7,528 homes were valued at
$1.7 billion, compared to 9,938 homes valued at $2.6
billion in the same quarter last year. Average sales price
dropped 15% from a year ago to $220,800.
From their Q2 Conference Call with Analysts:
- Over 80% of the $817.1 million in impairments was
related to projects in California, the West and the
Southeast. About 25% of their communities have been
impaired.
- They are making adjustments to return to their longterm
goal of keeping SG&A at 10% of revenues each
fiscal, and continue to focus on being the low-cost operator
in the industry.
KB HOME
- Revenues plunged 54% in the second quarter, to
$639.7 million. Losses were $255.9 million. They delivered
2,810 homes at an average selling price of
$226,600 compared to 4,776 homes with an average
selling price of $271,600 during Q2 last year. They took a
$176.5 million charge for inventory and joint venture issues
and abandoning land options contracts.
From their Q2 Conference Call with Analysts:
- 90% of their total impairments and abandonments
were in California, Arizona, Nevada and Florida.
- They’ve reduced inventory levels by 50% from a year
ago to $2.6 billion. They ended the quarter with approximately
56,600 lots owned or controlled, down 70% from
the first quarter of 2006.
- They currently have an “attractive, geographically
diverse” 3 year supply of land. They expect to reload
their pipeline as the market stabilizes, and think they
should be able to pick up land at good prices.
- They have the highest revenues per employee among
the big builders, $2.2 million per employee.
- Falling home prices and rising rents have made getting
into the market more attractive to first time buyers.
- Community counts were down 24 - 45% in each of
their four regions. Cancellation rates improved to 27%
of gross orders from 53% in the first quarter of 2008 and
58% in the fourth quarter of 2007.
- Their backlog at the beginning of the quarter was
4,843 homes, and they converted 58% to revenue. Average
selling price decreased 17% to $226,6000. Average
square footage dropped 10%.
- They currently have 4,700 homes in production, with
17% or 80 homes unsold.
- Eight KB Home divisions received the 2008 Energy
Star Leadership in Housing Award from the EPA, including Las Vegas, Phoenix, Sacramento and Southern
California.
- They have rolled out their direct buy and distribution
program in Southern California and report it is working
very well, and they are getting ready to test it in Texas.
Other News:
- CEO Jeff Mezger said that despite poor demand for
new homes during the second quarter, as affordability
continues to improve they expect today’s hesitant
buyers to become a healthy source of demand for new homes, fueling the eventual housing market recovery.
They have lots of cash and plenty of credit available
to put to work when recovery begins.
- KBH sold a parcel in northeast Bakersfield for
$765,000; they bought the land in 2005 for more than
$3.3 million. The 84-lot KBH parcel takes up nearly 20
aces. It was bought by 85 Harvest Moon LLC, a subsidiary
of Los Angeles based Global Investment & Development.
- The KBH Sustainability Report is a comprehensive
review of the company’s progress toward sustainability, identifying both ongoing initiatives and operations
challenges, as well as their future commitments and actions.
It’s available at www.kbhome.com/sustainability. All
new homes built by KBH have only Energy Star appliances
and they also give buyers the option of increasing
their homes energy efficiency by adding products from
the My Home, My Earth line of KB Home Studio options.
LENNAR
From their Q2 Conference Call with Analysts:
- CEO Stuart Miller continued to emphasize that he
does not believe the market has bottomed out yet, and does not currently see any signs of stabilization. He
believes the number of homes in foreclosure is actually
going to increase, as there are a lot of homes in the judicial
pipeline now, which will delay recovery and put more
pressure on pricing.
- Inventory of finished homes, number of open communities
and the number of builders is dropping, which will eventually give them a competitive advantage.
- They are seeing construction costs coming down by
as much as 20%, due to revamping their purchasing
efforts and focusing on regional and national efficiencies.
- Their Inventory levels have been reduced by 47% to
$3.8 billion. The finished homes and construction in progress
inventory was reduced 39% to $2.2 billion, and
land under development was reduced 56% to $1.6 billion.
Unsold completed homes were reduced 70% to 428.
Homes under construction dropped 42% to 6,500. Home
sites are down 61% to 134,000.
- They want to continue to aggressively reduce the
number of joint ventures, especially those with recourse
debt. They’ve already cut the number down from
100 to 57.
- Revenues on home sales dropped 62% to $1 billion, driven by a 58% drop in deliveries and an 8% drop in
average sales price less sales incentives, which averaged
$48,700 per home, up about $5,000 per home.
- New orders were down 45%, and the number of homes
in backlog was down 52%. Their cancellation rate
dropped to 22% from 29%.
- They believe they’re at the tail end of the impairment
process, and made second quarter impairments of $137
million.
PULTE HOMES
- Revenue for the second quarter dropped 20% to
$1.63 billion. They lost $158.4 million for the quarter,
compared to $507.6 million for the same quarter last
year. Analysts were expecting a bigger loss. Net new
orders totaled 5,133 homes valued at $1.41 billion, compared
to 7,532 homes worth $2..42 billion during the
same quarter in the previous year. They closed 5,438
homes, down 8% from the previous year. The average
selling price fell 11% to $286,000. Their backlog stood at
8,254 homes valued at $2.4 billion.
- Pulte CEO Richard Dugas told the Detroit Free Press that “The U.S. economy is at risk. This is not just a
housing crisis.” Dugas and CEOs of other large builders
pushed hard for a big tax credit on home purchases
as part of the broader package Congress enacted to deal
with the subprime lending crisis and related epidemic of
home foreclosures.
- They’ve cut the number of employees by 60% and
written off $3.7 billion in land, dropping their holdings
from 360,000 lots to fewer than 150,000.
- They expect to have $2 billion in cash by the end of
this year, almost twice as much cash as they had at the
end of 2007.
From Pulte’s Q2 Conference Call with Analysts:
- New home orders were down 32%, and they had 165
fewer communities than during the same quarter last
year. Revenues from home settlements for home building
operations dropped 18% to $1.6 billion. Fair market value
adjustments produced a $43 million loss from land sales
for the quarter.
- They’re projecting break-even for the third quarter, with 5,100 - 5,400 homes delivered with an average price
of $286,000.
- Buyers having trouble selling existing homes continue
to take a bite out of sales in most of their markets.
They ended the quarter with 3,100 spec homes,
down 8% from the first quarter, and 16% from the same
quarter last year. They have 979 finished spec homes,
less than two per community. Second quarter sign ups
totaled 1.4 million, with unit volume down 32% and average
price down 15%.
- Many buyers are not even shopping until they’ve
sold their current home, which is making it necessary
to maintain some level of spec inventory.
- Their Southwest segment, which includes Las Vegas,
Arizona and New Mexico, saw sign ups drop 27%, which was slightly better than the first quarter decline.
Las Vegas was down 25% year over year; Phoenix was
down 29%, with high levels of existing homes continuing
to hurt new home sales. They have a strong supply of
lots in Arizona.
- Sign ups were down 41% in their California operations. Northern California markets were down 27%. Sign
ups in Southern California were 57% below last year.
The Coastal market was hardest hit, with sign ups dropping
77% year over year. That was primarily due to a
40% decrease in community count for Southern California
along with an excess supply of unsold new and existing
homes, rising foreclosures and “fierce” competition
among builders.
- They won’t rule out opportunistic acquisitions of either
lots or other builders with “attractive geographic footprints.”
- The rate of price decline has slowed because new
home prices can’t really drop much lower, now that
completed spec inventory is pretty much gone. Many
small builders are operating at break-even or below, and
now are having trouble getting financing.
- Discounts and incentives ran about 12.6% for the
quarter, roughly the same as the previous quarter.
- They’re most bullish on the Del Webb segment of the
market, because there are many more active adults out
there than there are communities to accommodate them,
and the only thing preventing many of them from moving
is the fact they can’t or won’t sell their existing home in
the current market.
Other News:
- The winners of the Del Webb Home and Away sweepstakes
closed on the home they won in Georgetown,
Texas. More than 24,000 people entered the sweepstakes.
The winners were entitled to receive up to
$250,000 toward the purchase of a new Del Webb home
anywhere they wanted.
- Pulte Homes donated over $150,000 in reusable
building materials and fixtures to Habitat for Humanity when they dismantled five model homes in the master-
planned community of Summerlin in Las Vegas.
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